Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 19.067418 21.800227 24.920074 28.774424 33.448467 38.985101 46.118284
2025-08-10 15.261439 18.588956 22.726978 28.347434 35.936882 46.065566 61.030287
2025-08-17 13.085808 16.599792 21.220950 27.914293 37.665541 51.879141 75.253363
2025-08-24 11.626593 15.221947 20.162980 27.701639 39.402529 57.809609 91.163350
2025-08-31 10.361518 13.902210 18.939099 26.950931 40.050417 62.032988 105.425440
2025-09-07 9.466896 12.981215 18.137637 26.657222 41.279098 67.383009 123.492017
2025-09-14 8.491963 11.831643 16.845111 25.367981 40.547727 68.992330 134.497971
2025-09-21 7.648916 10.798421 15.617035 24.007295 39.430890 69.576179 143.420712
2025-09-28 7.057686 10.097725 14.839734 23.302960 39.383125 72.253114 158.405363
2025-10-05 7.271782 10.666775 16.158859 26.434602 47.259405 93.843308 234.611524
2025-10-12 7.076126 10.555552 16.325191 27.478473 51.137907 107.672702 298.390993
2025-10-19 6.606405 9.953906 15.587631 26.695759 50.931266 111.300178 330.188591
2025-10-26 6.409035 9.810608 15.671946 27.602922 54.858850 127.646243 427.047837
2025-11-02 6.040097 9.347026 15.138968 27.194471 55.651267 135.608467 497.886819
2025-11-09 5.708437 8.922758 14.638080 26.784415 56.358101 143.640727 579.614080
2025-11-16 5.434389 8.579876 14.258133 26.582939 57.561235 153.826928 688.903182
2025-11-23 5.123921 8.151060 13.678719 25.871525 57.281181 158.936497 775.858201
2025-11-30 4.889549 7.844714 13.311395 25.593102 58.141276 168.630195 915.304230
2025-12-07 4.569747 7.363885 12.567479 24.370354 56.118680 166.671366 959.555355
2025-12-14 4.265526 6.896910 11.822818 23.078755 53.708677 162.521951 981.150330
2025-12-21 4.048254 6.580560 11.359887 22.409726 53.040143 165.426470 1080.715605
2025-12-28 4.206881 6.975180 12.362028 25.382034 64.144186 225.939149 2088.694477
2026-01-04 4.159962 6.975005 12.548935 26.371488 69.299861 263.373051 3111.164426